TNF Draftkings Showdown Plays – Chargers @ Raiders

LA Chargers @ Oakland Raiders

Opening Line: Oakland +1
Current Line: Oakland +1.5
Over/Under: 48.5
Location: Ring Central Coliseum
Start Time: 8:20 PM ET

Must Plays

Philip Rivers – $10,000

The Raiders have given up the 4th most yards per pass reception in the NFL this season, giving up an average of 8.4 yards per catch. The Chargers will be riding a huge wave of confidence after beating the Packers last week under new offensive coordinator Shane Steichen. With their full arsenal of best offensive weapons available this week it will be tough to predict which receiver will go off. Therefore, it makes sense to go with the syrup that covers the pancakes and load up on Rivers.

Darren Waller – $8,600

The Chargers have given up the 9th most yards per reception in the NFL so far this season, giving up 7.4 yards per attempt. The stats suggest the way to beat the Chargers is through he air, which is great news for Darren Waller. Even better news for Waller is that the Chargers give up the second highest completed pass percentage in the NFL, allowing 72.2% of passes to be completed. Waller completes a huge 80% of his targets and reels in 6 receptions per game on average.

Low Owned Differential Play

Hunter Renfrow – $5,000

With the Chargers likely to be playing from behind, their pass catchers should all see an increase in targets. After his 7 target game last week, Renfrow has now seen the most targets of all the Raiders Wide Receivers this season. Add to this the fact that he now has back to back touchdown games and his $5,000 price tag  looks very favourable.

Avoid

Josh Jacobs – $9,400

The Raiders running back is the 3rd most expensive play on the board and will probably be one of the highest owned too. However, the Chargers give up just 4.2 rushing yards per attempt. Jacobs also relies on the game script going in the Raiders favour which according to Vegas is less likely than the alternative. The rookie will also be carrying a shoulder injury on a short week. With this many question marks, Jacobs is an expensive chalk I’m happy to avoid this week.

2019/20 Premier League Leading Scorer Betting Tips

Jogo Brasil vs África do Sul Olimpíadas Rio 2016Premier League Leading Scorers

Each Way – Top 4 – ¼ Odds

Gabriel Jesus – 33/1

Manchester City are the odds on favourites to win the Premier League once again this season. They have a Brazilian international that has scored 18 goals in 35 matches for the reigning Copa America champions. So why is he as big as 33/1 to be the Premier League Top Scorer? The answer, obviously, is because he plays second fiddle to Sergio Aguero. However, Aguero is now 31 years old and the signs of an over worked body are starting to show. In just over a year he has suffered 2 knee injuries, a groin injury and a thigh injury. These injuries have cost him a total of 92 days footballing action from the 11th March 2018 to the 8th April 2019. Soft tissue injuries are the type of injuries that linger and need time to rest and recover, especially at the age of 31. However, rather than rest this summer, the Argentinian played in the Copa America where Argentina reached the Semi Finals. If anything does happen to Aguero and he does miss extended time then Jesus will move straight into the role just as he did last season. The Brazilian’s Goal Conversion was only ever so slightly worse than Aguero’s but we can put that down to his starts being sporadic. Even if Aguero doesn’t miss extended time, with the Sky Blues likely to be competing on 4 fronts once again, Aguero will need extra rest this season, thus opening up more playing time for the Olympic Gold Medalist. Man City created 125 Big Chances last season, the vast majority of these could go Jesus’s way this time round.

Michy Batshuayi – 80/1

Following the departure of Gonzalo Higuain back to Juventus following his loan spell at Chelsea last season there is now a 4 way race on for the starting lone striker role at Stamford Bridge. Veteran Oliver Giroud plus youngsters Tammy Abraham, Callum Hudson-Odoi and Michy Batshuayi will all be hopeful of winning the battle. Whoever does claim the role will be good value to knock in a plethora of goals. Over the last 10 games of last season, Chelsea ranked 4th in the Premier League for Big Chances Total. A ‘big chance’ being classified as one where a player should score. Whilst on loan at Crystal Palace last season Batshuayi ranked 3rd for all strikers that played over 500 minutes over the last 10 games of the season for Goal Conversion, converting 4 of 15 attempts into a goal. The Belgium international scores goals wherever he plays. Improving all the time, the 25 year old has scored 114 goals in 252 games. Hudson-Odoi’s injury, Abraham’s Premier League inexperience and Giroud’s advancement in years should make Batshuayi the favourite to land the gilt edged role as Chelsea’s starting lone striker.

Azoye Perez – 150/1

The new Leicester City man arrives at the King Power Stadium off the back of an electric end to last season. The only forward in the Premier League to score more goals than the Spaniard over the last 10 games of the season was his new team mate Jamie Vardy. Perez, however, had the much better Goal Conversion rate. In fact, it was the best in the Premier League last season over the last 10 games. A move to the 2015/16 Premier League Champions will create an improvement in big chances coming Perez’s way. Over the last 10 games of last season, Leicester ranked 9th for Big Chances Total. Leicester are the joint 7th favourites to win the league this year so they should score plenty of goals along the way. With a flurry of creative players around him such as James Maddison, Ricardo Pereira and Marc Albrighton, the former Spanish Under 21 could notch up a very impressive tally this season.

 

DKGolfBargains Value DFS Picks – The Masters – Week 15

Value Picks Returning Top 10 Finishes This Season

1st – Matt Kuchar – $8,500 – Sony Open

2nd – Oliver Wilson – $6,600 – Qatar Masters

2nd – Brad Kennedy – $8,300 – Handa Vic Open

3rd – Ian Poulter – $8,900 – Dubai Desert Classic

3rd – Paul Casey – $8,600 – WGC Mexico

4th – Ryan Palmer – $7,200 – Honda Classic

4th – Sungjae Im – $7,700 – Valspar Championship

5th – David Drysdale – $7,400 – Handa Vic Open

5th – Gaganjeet Bhullar – $9,500 – Kenya Open

6th – Joost Luiten – $8,700 – Saudi International

7th – Sungjae Im – $7,300 – Waste Management Phoenix Open

7th – Kevin Streelman – $7,300 – AT&T Pro Am

8th – Nate Lashley – $8,300 – Puerto Rico Open

10th – Byeong Hun-An – $7,500 – Arnold Palmer Invitational

10th – Jason Kokrak – $8,300 – Arnold Palmer Invitational

The Masters

*All stats correct up to and including the Valspar Open

Hideki Matsuyama – $8,700

The Japanese World Number 26 ranks out very highly on my custom model for the 2019 Masters. The 2 time WGC winner has made his last 20 cuts in a row and has 3 top 10 finishes in his last 7 events. Matsuyama has played 7 times at The Masters and finished top 20 in each of his last 4 attempts. He also has a 5th and 7th place finish here too. Over the last 2 months ‘Deki’ ranks 2nd in the field this week for Shots Gained Total Tee 2 Green and 6th for Opportunities Gained.

Matt Kuchar – $7,900

Kuuuuch doesn’t seem to have been out of the news since winning the Mayakoba Classic in November. Since that win he has climbed from 40th in the world to 16th. Over the last 2 months Kuchar ranks 7th in the field for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and 7th for Opportunities Gained. He also ranks 6th for Shots Gained Total in the all time stats. As if all this wasn’t mouth watering enough, the 8 time PGA Tour winner ranks 4th in the field this week for Shots Gained Total at Augusta. This excellent course fit to Augusta has resulted in him making 9 of his last 9 cuts here with 4 top 10’s in that run.

Sergio Garcia – $7,700

The 2017 Masters Champions burned so many people last year after his Tin Cup moment on the 15th hole when he shot a 13 in round 1. That aside he does have a good track record around Augusta. In the field this week he ranks 16th for Shots Gained Total here gaining 1.2 shots per round on the field. His current form is also very good where he ranks 13th in the field for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and 14th for Opportunities Gained. The Spaniard also ranks 11th in the all time Shots Gained Total stats cementing his place as one of the elite players here this week. Since his win at the Andalucia Valderrama Masters in October the 39 year old Spaniard has mood-swinged his way to 8 top 10’s in 12 events.

Keegan Bradley – $7,000

Keegan, Keegan, Keegan. What to make of Keegan Bradley. Brilliant, awful, majestic, terrible, on fire, tanking. Which Keegan is going to turn up? The Full Keegan or the former Major winner. I for one actually think the former Major winning, pin seeking, ball striking Jekyll is going to successfully wrestle Hyde from his side this week. The World Number 34 will enter the 2019 Masters ranked 10th in the field for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and 5th for Opportunities Gained. Despite his putting woes Bradley does still rank 19th in this elite field for Shots Gained Total in the all time stats so to be priced up as just the 42nd most expensive play is a bit of a bargains. Course form wise he had played at The Masters 5 times, made the cut 4 times and posted a 27th and 22nd.

Bernhard Langer – $6,500

The 2 time Masters Champion will be 61 when he tees it up at Augusta this year. Despite his age the German is still able to grind out decent results here. In the last 6 years he has notable finishes of 38th, 25th, 24th and 8th! Has played 3 events on the Champions Tour this year and finished 3rd, 2nd and 1st. The World Golf Hall Of Famer can still play!

Kevin Kisner – $6,700

Kisner is a University Of Georgia graduate that knows Augusta very well. He has already played 3 Masters making the cut every time with finishes of 37th, 43rd and 28th. The World Number 50 ranks 27th in the field this week for Shots Gained Tee To Green over the last 2 months and 34th for Draftkings Points Gained. This great tee to green play along with one of the best putting strokes in the game has seen ‘The Kiz’ record 6 top 30 finishes in a row. He will be brimming with confidence too after making the final of the WGC Dell Match Play.

DKGolfBargains Value DFS Picks – The Masters – Week 15

Value Picks Returning Top 10 Finishes This Season

1st – Matt Kuchar – $8,500 – Sony Open

2nd – Oliver Wilson – $6,600 – Qatar Masters

2nd – Brad Kennedy – $8,300 – Handa Vic Open

3rd – Ian Poulter – $8,900 – Dubai Desert Classic

3rd – Paul Casey – $8,600 – WGC Mexico

4th – Ryan Palmer – $7,200 – Honda Classic

4th – Sungjae Im – $7,700 – Valspar Championship

5th – David Drysdale – $7,400 – Handa Vic Open

5th – Gaganjeet Bhullar – $9,500 – Kenya Open

6th – Joost Luiten – $8,700 – Saudi International

7th – Sungjae Im – $7,300 – Waste Management Phoenix Open

7th – Kevin Streelman – $7,300 – AT&T Pro Am

8th – Nate Lashley – $8,300 – Puerto Rico Open

10th – Byeong Hun-An – $7,500 – Arnold Palmer Invitational

10th – Jason Kokrak – $8,300 – Arnold Palmer Invitational

The Masters

*All stats correct up to and including the Valspar Open

Hideki Matsuyama – $8,700

The Japanese World Number 26 ranks out very highly on my custom model for the 2019 Masters. The 2 time WGC winner has made his last 20 cuts in a row and has 3 top 10 finishes in his last 7 events. Matsuyama has played 7 times at The Masters and finished top 20 in each of his last 4 attempts. He also has a 5th and 7th place finish here too. Over the last 2 months ‘Deki’ ranks 2nd in the field this week for Shots Gained Total Tee 2 Green and 6th for Opportunities Gained.

Matt Kuchar – $7,900

Kuuuuch doesn’t seem to have been out of the news since winning the Mayakoba Classic in November. Since that win he has climbed from 40th in the world to 16th. Over the last 2 months Kuchar ranks 7th in the field for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and 7th for Opportunities Gained. He also ranks 6th for Shots Gained Total in the all time stats. As if all this wasn’t mouth watering enough, the 8 time PGA Tour winner ranks 4th in the field this week for Shots Gained Total at Augusta. This excellent course fit to Augusta has resulted in him making 9 of his last 9 cuts here with 4 top 10’s in that run.

Sergio Garcia – $7,700

The 2017 Masters Champions burned so many people last year after his Tin Cup moment on the 15th hole when he shot a 13 in round 1. That aside he does have a good track record around Augusta. In the field this week he ranks 16th for Shots Gained Total here gaining 1.2 shots per round on the field. His current form is also very good where he ranks 13th in the field for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and 14th for Opportunities Gained. The Spaniard also ranks 11th in the all time Shots Gained Total stats cementing his place as one of the elite players here this week. Since his win at the Andalucia Valderrama Masters in October the 39 year old Spaniard has mood-swinged his way to 8 top 10’s in 12 events.

Keegan Bradley – $7,000

Keegan, Keegan, Keegan. What to make of Keegan Bradley. Brilliant, awful, majestic, terrible, on fire, tanking. Which Keegan is going to turn up? The Full Keegan or the former Major winner. I for one actually think the former Major winning, pin seeking, ball striking Jekyll is going to successfully wrestle Hyde from his side this week. The World Number 34 will enter the 2019 Masters ranked 10th in the field for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and 5th for Opportunities Gained. Despite his putting woes Bradley does still rank 19th in this elite field for Shots Gained Total in the all time stats so to be priced up as just the 42nd most expensive play is a bit of a bargains. Course form wise he had played at The Masters 5 times, made the cut 4 times and posted a 27th and 22nd.

Bernhard Langer – $6,500

The 2 time Masters Champion will be 61 when he tees it up at Augusta this year. Despite his age the German is still able to grind out decent results here. In the last 6 years he has notable finishes of 38th, 25th, 24th and 8th! Has played 3 events on the Champions Tour this year and finished 3rd, 2nd and 1st. The World Golf Hall Of Famer can still play!

Kevin Kisner – $6,700

Kisner is a University Of Georgia graduate that knows Augusta very well. He has already played 3 Masters making the cut every time with finishes of 37th, 43rd and 28th. The World Number 50 ranks 27th in the field this week for Shots Gained Tee To Green over the last 2 months and 34th for Draftkings Points Gained. This great tee to green play along with one of the best putting strokes in the game has seen ‘The Kiz’ record 6 top 30 finishes in a row. He will be brimming with confidence too after making the final of the WGC Dell Match Play.