DKGolfBargains Value DFS Picks – Valspar Championship & Maybank Championship – Week 12

Value Picks Returning Top 10 Finishes This Season

1st – Matt Kuchar – $8,500 – Sony Open

2nd – Oliver Wilson – $6,600 – Qatar Masters

2nd – Brad Kennedy – $8,300 – Handa Vic Open

3rd – Ian Poulter – $8,900 – Dubai Desert Classic

3rd – Paul Casey – $8,600 – WGC Mexico

4th – Ryan Palmer – $7,200 – Honda Classic

5th – David Drysdale – $7,400 – Handa Vic Open

5th – Gaganjeet Bhullar – $9,500 – Kenya Open

6th – Joost Luiten – $8,700 – Saudi International

7th – Sungjae Im – $7,300 – Waste Management Phoenix Open

7th – Kevin Streelman – $7,300 – AT&T Pro Am

8th – Nate Lashley – $8,300 – Puerto Rico Open

10th – Byeong Hun-An – $7,500 – Arnold Palmer Invitational

10th – Jason Kokrak – $8,300 – Arnold Palmer Invitational

 

Valspar Championship

 

Jim Furyk – $9,200

Yes this is probably the most that Jim has ever cost on Draftkings but I honestly think he is worth every penny this week. Jim ranks 4th in the field this week for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and 8th for Opportunities Gained over the same period. He also ranks 10th for Birdie Or Better Gained and 1st for Bogey Avoidance. The World Number 57 has made 9 of his last 11 cuts which includes 4 top 10 finishes. His 2nd last week will fill him with confidence this week going to a course where he has had a plethora of success over the years. The Major winner ranks 2nd in the field this week for Shots Gained Total at Copperhead. Jim has made 9 consecutive cuts here and has notable finishes here of 7th, 7th, 2nd and 1st!

Russell Knox – $8,100

Russell ranks 9th in the field this week for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and also 2nd for Opportunities Gained over the same period. The World Number 62 has now made his last 11 cuts in a row which includes 4 top 20 finishes. Russell’s strength is his bogey avoidance where he ranks 10^th in the field this week over the last 2 months. Course wise, Russell ranks 21st for Shots Gained Total at Copperhead and the Scotsman finished 16th here last year with a 66 in round 3.

Vaughn Taylor – $6,800

Vaughn has had a torrid time here at Copperhead over his last 5 attempts, however, other than the 2016 instalment, the last time he played here was 2011. In 2016 he missed the cut by just one shot. Back in 2004 Vaughn did shoot a 65 in round 2. The opportunity should be there for another repeat performance this year as he ranks 1st in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months. He is gaining 1.5 opportunities for birdie over the field over this period. The World Number 220 ranks 14th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months, 16th for Bogeys Avoided and 11th for Birdie Or Better.

Sungjae Im – $7,700

The impressive PGA Tour rookie continues to produce great results. He is now up to 72nd in the world. Since joining the PGA Tour Sungjae has recorded 6 top 16 place finishes in 15 attempts including a 7th, 4th and a 3rd. Form wise, the Korean ranks 20th in the field this week for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months, 16th for Opportunities Gained and 5 for Bogeys Avoided. A stat that could prove instrumental to any high finish this week.

J.T Poston – $7,900

The Postman ranks 17th in the field this week for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months which has helped him to some pretty impressive finishes of late. He has made his last 8 cuts in a row and recorded 5 top 30 finishes in this time including a 7th at the Desert Classic in week 3 of this year. The World Number 201’s only event at Copperhead resulted in a 14th place finish (2017) and gained 1.7 shots per round on the field.

Kevin Na – $7,800

Tiger’s new bezzie looks to be trending in the right direction for a good finish this week. The World Number 60 ranks 10th for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months so is only a few made putts away from posting a good score. Copperhead certainly brings the best out of Na too having made 6 of his last 8 cuts here. In this span he has recorded 3 top 10 finishes including a 2nd here in 2014. We know Kevin putts well here and with the amount of looks he is giving himself recently the two could marry up to produce a very tasty finish this week.

 

 

Maybank Championship

 

Adrian Otaegui – $8,600

Otaegui is the number one player in the field this week World Rankings wise yet is only priced up as the 16th most expensive play. The World Number 70 has 5 top 25 place finishes in his last 11 events which includes three top 5 finishes. The Spaniard has played here both of the last 2 years that the this event has been played at Saujana Golf Club recently and has finishes of 52nd and 39th. Adrian was able to post a score of -9 last year when ranked 151st in the World. He goes in this week as much stronger player.

Gaganjeet Bhullar – $8,000

In my opinion this will be the last week before Bhullar eclipses Shubhankar Sharma as the highest ranked Indian player in the world. Bhullar is getting closer and closer to his first European Tour win. The World Number 123 came very close to winning last week but 2 double bogeys in his final round meant he came up just short. The 9 time Asian Tour winner has now made the cut in his last 6 European Tour events since becoming a European Tour regular this year. Bhullar has recorded finishes of 20th and 27th here the last 2 years so everything is falling into place for him to finally take down a European Tour event this week.

Mikko Korhonen – $7,600

So Draftkings still continue to give us a free square with offering the current Shot Clock Masters champion at such a cheap price. Still the 18th best player in the field World Rankings wise, the Fin is priced up as just the 29th most expensive play. Form wise, the World Number 115 has now made 12 of his last 13 cuts recording 5 top 25 finishes in that time. On his only effort here at Saujana Golf Club Korhonen recorded a 20th place finish when ranked 274th in the world.

Panuphol Pittayarat – $6,900

The Asian Tour regular has risen from 431st in the world to 209th in just over 2 years. He has made 7 of his last 8 cuts worldwide which includes 5 top 15 finishes. The Thai has also enjoyed success here at Saujana Golf Club too with finishes of 9th and 23rd in the last 2 years. He has twice shot a 66 round here. Everything is gearing up for another good finish here this week again.

Yuta Ikeda – $7,300

Ikeda is the 12th best ranked player in the field this week World Rankings wise yet is priced up as just the 41st most expensive play. The Japanese national shot a 64 here last year en route to 9 under 39th place finish. The 20 time world wide winner has made 21 of his last 26 world wide cuts recording 11 top 15 finishes in this time. Last time out he finished 11th at the ISPS HANDA World Super 6.

Khalin H Joshi – $6,200

I tipped Joshi up last week when he was priced at $6,400. He made the cut and had a decent return finishing 35th. His price has now dropped down to $6,200?? It’s time to load up again on the World Number 306. Theoretically he should do even better this week following his top 5 finish here last year. Since that top 5 finish at the Maybank Championship the Indian recorded his first win in October when taking down the Asian Tour Panasonic Open India. This could be the best $6,200 play you’ve ever played on Draftkings.

 

 

 

 

Advertisements

DKGolfBargains Value DFS Picks – Players Championship & Qatar Masters – Week 11

Value Picks Returning Top 10 Finishes This Season

1st – Matt Kuchar – $8,500 – Sony Open

2nd – Oliver Wilson – $6,600 – Qatar Masters

2nd – Brad Kennedy – $8,300 – Handa Vic Open

3rd – Ian Poulter – $8,900 – Dubai Desert Classic

3rd – Paul Casey – $8,600 – WGC Mexico

4th – Ryan Palmer – $7,200 – Honda Classic

5th – David Drysdale – $7,400 – Handa Vic Open

6th – Joost Luiten – $8,700 – Saudi International

7th – Sungjae Im – $7,300 – Waste Management Phoenix Open

7th – Kevin Streelman – $7,300 – AT&T Pro Am

8th – Nate Lashley – $8,300 – Puerto Rico Open

10th – Byeong Hun-An – $7,500 – Arnold Palmer Invitational

10th – Jason Kokrak – $8,300 – Arnold Palmer Invitational

Players Champhionship

Byeong Hun-An – $6,800

Following his 19th cut in 20 events last week, the Korean has moved back into the World’s Top 50. This amazing run of cuts has seen Hun-An record 5 top 13 place finishes in his last 11 events. The former BMW PGA Championship winner’s recent form is so good that he ranks 5th in the field this week for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months, 7th for Opportunities Gained over the same period. He only ranks 33rd for DK Points scored however over the same period as he ranks just 132nd for Shots Gained Putting. This is why he is just $6,800 and not $9,800. The way I see it this week is that you get a player whose Tee 2 Green game is good enough it gives you a safe floor but with putting being as variable as it is, a player that offers a very high ceiling.

Matt Kuchar – $8,000

Not only is Kuchar’s current form undeniably good, so is his form at TPC Sawgrass. The World Number 22 ranks 2nd in the field this week for Shots Gained Total at TPC Sawgrass and 8th for Draftkings Points Gained. This is off a sample size of 25 rounds so clearly a course that suits Kuchar’s game. For those with short memories the current Sony Open Champion has 2 wins and 4th in his last 8 events. Over the last 2 months he ranks 20th in the field for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and 30th for Draftkings Points Gained over the same period.

Paul Casey – $7,900

This seems a very cheap price for Casey. The World Number 15 has three top 3 finishes in his last 4 events and 10 top 25 finishes in his last 11 completed events. This form see him ranked 22nd in he field this week for Draftkings Points Gained and 5th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the same period. Looking a lot further back the Englishman ranks 20th in the field for the DK Points Gained over the last 100 rounds and 15th for Shots Gained Total, cementing the claim of him being one of the elite players here this week. Course wise, Casey appears to have tamed TPC Sawgrass in the last couple of years recording back to back top 25 finishes. In fact, in Paul’s last 3 made cuts here he has performed really well other than in the 3rd round every time. He has posted 3rd rounds of 77, 76 and 76 these 3 times. Hopefully this week he will survive a 3rd shocker and post a top 5 finish.

Kevin Na – $6,700

The World Number 56 ranks 7th in the field this week for Draftkings Points Gained at TPC Sawgrass. This course fit has seen him produce past notable finishes of 7th, 6th and 3rd. Over the last 2 months Na ranks 12th in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months. So what would be great is if this player that is creating all these opportunities at the minute felt good on the greens he’s about to play on. Well, Na ranks 2nd in the field this week for Shots Gained Putting at TPC Sawgrass. Best get your calculator ready for adding up all the birdies he’s going to make this week!

Jason Kokrak – $6,700

Fast becoming one of my favourite players, Kokrak is playing off of pretty much his best ever World Ranking. The World Number 91 ranks 10th in the field this week for Draftkings Points Gained over the last 2 months. Over the same period he also ranks 3rd for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green and 5th for Opportunities Gained. If Kokrak could just hole some putts he could walk any event the way he is playing at the minute. To put it into perspective, Kokrak ranked 132nd last week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational for Shots Gained Putting and still finished 10th! His floor is so safe at the minute that $6,700 is a steal.

Matthew Fitzpatrick – $6,900

I’m amazed that there haven’t been more than 3 tags so far for Fitzpatrick. The prices were released before his excellent 2nd place finish last week hence why it is so low. I would’ve expected his ownership to be over 15% but this lack of tags suggest he may well be under 10%. In his last 13 events worldwide the Englishman has recorded notable finishes of 7th, 4th, 2nd, 2nd and 1st. He has now reach the World Number 33 which is pretty much the highest he has ever been. A quick browse of the FanShare Pro Tools shows us that he is the cheapest DFS play this week for any player price 66/1 or better this week. Don’t think that last week was just a fluke. Fitzpatrick ranks 15th in this field for Shots Gained Putting on fast / lightening Bermuda.

Qatar Masters

Gaganjeet Bhullar – $9,500

Gaganjeet is the 5th best player in the field this week World Rankings wise. The World Number 142 has now made 21 of his last 23 cuts. The Indian has made all 5 of his European Tour cuts this season and already has a top 10 place finish on the European Tour when he finished 7th at the Czech Masters in August last year. He is ready to take down a European Tour event and in this strength of field he will be licking his chops this week.

Oliver Wilson – $8,600

Wow! What a performance Oliver gave us last week. Not the bargain price we got last week but still a price I’m more than happy to pay. The former World Number 35 now has 3 top 5 finishes in his last 6 European Tour events. In case you missed this snippet last week, Oliver has now risen from outside the World’s top 2000 to 163rd in the space of 8 months which is just incredible.

Robert Macintyre – $8,300

Robert has now made 7 of his last 8 cuts on the European Tour. Since August last year he has risen from outside the top 1000 in the World to 249th. The Scotsman enjoyed 5 top 10 finishes on the Challenge Tour last year and has got his rookie European Tour campaign off to a good start. This is a golden opportunity to post his first European Tour top 10 finish having already come close with 2 top 15s this year.

Shubhankar Sharma – $8,900

The Indian Sensation is too good a player to be in a field of this strength and not be in the top 3 most expensive plays. He is still the 2nd best ranked player World Rankings wise this week and is priced up as just the 13th most expensive play. Form wise, he has made 4 of his last 5 cuts so it’s not like he is playing badly. He recorded a 2nd place finish at the PGTI Players Championship just 3 events ago. For just $8,900 the World Number 117 has a very safe floor and a massive ceiling.

Sean Crocker – $8,400

Sean took the Challenge Tour by storm last year recording 8 top 10 finishes in just 23 starts. So far on his European Tour adventure Sean has recorded 3 top 20 finishes including an 9th place finish at the Australian PGA Championship. Sean is the 11th best player in the field World Rankings wise yet is priced up as just the 18th most expensive play. The American should be able to kick on from his Challenge Tour success and record another good European Tour finish here this week.

Khalin H Joshi – $6,400

Another Indian player that is really starting to kick on. The World Number 294 won the Panasonic Open India just 9 events ago and also followed that up with an 8th place finish at the Golconda Masters PGTI event just 3 events ago. Whilst World Number 294 doesn’t sound much that does actually make him the 25th best player in the field this week World Rankings wise yet he is only priced up as the 105th most expensive player. If you’re looking for a low priced player this week that could return a surprisingly high finish, then Joshi is your man.

 

DKGolfBargains Value DFS Picks – Arnold Palmer Invitational & Qatar Masters – Week 10

Value Picks Returning Top 10 Finishes This Season

1st – Matt Kuchar – $8,500 – Sony Open

2nd – Brad Kennedy – $8,300 – Handa Vic Open

3rd – Ian Poulter – $8,900 – Dubai Desert Classic

3rd – Paul Casey – $8,600 – WGC Mexico

4th – Ryan Palmer – $7,200 – Honda Classic

5th – David Drysdale – $7,400 – Handa Vic Open

6th – Joost Luiten – $8,700 – Saudi International

7th – Sungjae Im – $7,300 – Waste Management Phoenix Open

7th – Kevin Streelman – $7,300 – AT&T Pro Am

8th – Nate Lashley – $8,300 – Puerto Rico Open

Qatar Masters

Adrian Otaegui – $8,800

This will be Adrian’s first event back from his last minute, jet setting adventure to Mexico to mix with the world’s best at the WGC. He wisely took last week of so should be entering this week fully recovered. The Spaniard is the 2nd best ranked player in the field this week World Rankings wise yet is priced up as just the 14th most expensive. In his last 10 events the World Number 67 has recorded 3 top 5 finishes and recorded a 10th place finish here at Doha GC last year.

Gaganjeet Bhullar – $7,400

Gaganjeet comes into this event this week ranked the 21st best player world rankings wise and is priced up as just the 35th most expensive play. The World Number 139 has made 10 of his last 11 cuts which includes 6 top 27th place finishes. He has played this course once before and finished a very respectable 22nd.

Mikko Korhonen – $7,100

As with last week this is another nonsensical price for Mikko. He is the 13th best player in the World Rankings in this field, playing some of his best ever golf and is priced up as just the 50th most expensive player. Just load him up again as a free square. The Finn has made 11 of his last 12 cuts which includes a 16th, 12th and a 3rd. He also has plenty of experience of this Doha Golf course having played it 4 times and making 3 cuts. He also shot a 65 here in round one of 2017’s tournament.

Paul Waring – $7,600

The Englishman is on an impressive run at the minute. Although missing the cut last week Paul made his 7 cuts in a row before that. There were a lot of bad draws weather wise last week so anyone’s performance last week is forgivable. In this run, Paul has recorded a 6th place finish and a 3rd place finish, at big events too; Abu Dhabi and the Dubai Desert Classic. The World Number 138 finished 19th here last year and this was when has was ranked 251st in this world. Last year’s Nordea Masters Champion should go well again this week.

Hideto Tanihara – $6,900

I expected Hideto to go well last week and he did more than enough to suggest he is close to being back to his best. You don’t have to go too far back to remember his best being playing in the WGCs and almost winning the 2017 BMW PGA Championship. The Japanese Sensation ended up finishing 23rd last week but was a lot closer to winning than that suggests following a bad back 9 in round 4. The World Number 210 has now made 5 of his last 7 cuts and it was only 6 months ago he recorded back to back 6th and 3rd place finishes at the Omega European Masters and KLM Open. Hideto has only played this event once which was last year where he recorded a very respectable 28th place finish with a 66 in round 3.

Oliver Wilson – $6,600

The Englishman was on fire at the end of last season. He finished 3rd at the South African Open and then 5th at the Alfred Dunhill Championship to finish the season off. Prior to that he also recorded 2 victories on the Challenge Tour within 10 weeks of each other. His start to this season has got off to a slow start with a best finish of 56th last week but he has enough recent form to suggest that he could easily go very well this week. He has had some real success at Doha too having played 7 times and making 6 cuts. He has 3 top 20 finishes here including a 5th place finish. If any course is going to kick start his season it is going to be this one!

Arnold Palmer Invitational

 

Jason Kokrak – $8,300

Jason may well be a very chalky play this week but may be chalk worth eating. In this field he ranks 8th for Draftking Points Gained over the last 2 months, 3rd for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months and 3rd for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the same period. It’s safe to say that Jason’s Tee 2 Green game is on fire right now. Jason just needs a few putts to drop to really be killing it. As putting is so volatile this could be the week where they do drop and he walks it. Although it matters a little less when you’re hitting fairway after fairway after green, Jason actually has some success at Bay Hill too. He ranks 25th in the field for Shots Gained Total here and has finishes of 20th, 6th and 4th here.

Keegan Bradley – $8,400

At the time of writing this article, Bradley only currently has 2 tags compared to McIlroy’s 11. This could change however as the week progresses so be sure to check the FanShare Pro Tools before lock in case others cotton on to his excellent credentials this week. The World Number 32 comes into this week off the back of 19 cuts made in a row. More short term, he ranks 14^th for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months and 5^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the same period. More long term form shows that Keegan is one of the elite players in the field this week ranking 6^th in the all time stats for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green. This equates to Keegan ranking 12^th for Draftkings Points Gained in the all time stats. Course wise, Keegan’s stats are also impressive. He ranks 19^th in the field for DK Points Gained at Bay Hill and 8^th for Shots Gained Total here. This means he putts better here than most places ranking 90^th for Shots Gained Putting Total but moves up to 61^st when playing at Bay Hill. These great course stats have resulted in finishes of 3^rd and 2^nd here on previous visits. So a player at $8,400 that has great course form, current form and a recent victory (BMW Championship) screams value to me. Let’s just hope others gravitate towards the more ‘sexy’ plays in this much stronger field this week.

Byeong Hun-An – $7,500 

After the JB Holmes debacle earlier this season where he finished dead last when I tipped him and then won the following week I have learned not to give up on a player so quickly now. I had high hopes for Hun-An last week and although he didn’t do badly I was hoping for more. However, I am affording him another chance this week as his stats still look really good and I’m hoping a lot of people will be off him this week. So,  over the last 2 months the Korean ranks 25^th for DK Points Gained, 15^th for Opportunities Gained and 7^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green. The World Number 54 has also enjoyed some success here at Bay Hill where he has made the cut each of the last 3 years culminating in a 14^th place finish last year. In fact he ranks 23^rd for Shots Gained Total at Bay Hill in this field. He has made all 4 of his cuts this season and recorded 2 top 20 finishes.

Zach Johnson – $7,700 

The 2 time Major winner has the experience of 15 events here at Bay Hill and boy has he used that experience well! He has only missed one cut here form those 15 efforts and in this time he has recorded 5 top 10 finishes here. Therefore it is not surprising to see that he ranks 16^th for DK Points Scored here and 9^th for Shots Gained Total. Over the last 2 months Zach ranks 10^th in the field this week for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green, 37^th for Opportunities Gained and 41^st for Draftkings Points Gained. He should be a safe cut maker this week with a lot of upside.

Kevin Na – $7,200

The PGA Tour veteran has had an uneventful enough 2019 to keep him under the radar this week. Finishes of 60^th, 33^rd and 36^th aren’t likely to excite anybody. That said, the results are going in the right direction and Na does love Bay Hill. He ranks 14^th for DK Points Gained here and 9^th for Shots Gained Total. This excellent course fit here has resulted in him making 7 of his last 8 cuts here, recording 5 top 15 finishes including a 2^nd in 2010. Kevin also ranks 6^th for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months too. With all these opportunities being created recently by the World Number 56 it sounds like he just needs a course he putts well on to record a big finish. Where better than the place where he ranks 5^th for Shots Gained Putting!

Vaughan Taylor – $6,500  

In this strong field this week who ranks out at number 1 for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months? Yep that’s right the World Number 228 Vaughan ‘The Yawn’ Taylor! Taylor also has 4 top 25 place finishes here at Bay Hill in just 10 attempts. As if that isn’t mouth watering enough for a $6,500 pick, Taylor also has a 3rd place finish to his name here (2007). His DK Points return is also good recently as he ranks 29^th for DK Points Gained over the last 2 months and results wise he has 2 top 10 finishes in 6 events so far this year.

 

 

DKGolfBargains Value DFS Picks – Honda Classic & Oman Open – Week 9

Value Picks Returning Top 10 Finishes This Season

1st – Matt Kuchar – $8,500 – Sony Open

2nd – Brad Kennedy – $8,300 – Handa Vic Open

3rd – Ian Poulter – $8,900 – Dubai Desert Classic

3rd – Paul Casey – $8,600 – WGC Mexico

5th – David Drysdale – $7,400 – Handa Vic Open

6th – Joost Luiten – $8,700 – Saudi International

7th – Sungjae Im – $7,300 – Waste Management Phoenix Open

7th – Kevin Streelman – $7,300 – AT&T Pro Am

8th – Nate Lashley – $8,300 – Puerto Rico Open

Honda Classic

Russell Knox – $7,800

The Scotsman has missed his last 2 cuts at this event which should be enough to put people off and keep his ownership low. However, a deeper look into his course form paints a completely different picture. He has 2 top 3 finishes here and another top 25  in the last 5 years. Even despite his 2 missed cuts the last 2 times out here at PGA National Knox still ranks 23^rd in the field for DK Points Gained at this event. His recent form is also a case of opportunity knox with the World Number 62 ranking 10^th in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months and 15^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the same period. This solid play has seen him make all 6 of his cuts this year with 3 top 20 place finishes already in the bag.

Vaughan Taylor – $6,700 

Talking of opportunities of late, Taylor ranks 4^th in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months. In fact for all 7 of the key stats I’m looking at this week the World Number 221 ranks top 50 in all of them. Here at PGA National Taylor ranks 38^th for DK Points Gained and 28th for DK Points Points Gained over the last 2 months. He has plenty of experience here at PGA National playing here 11 times and making 7 cuts in that time. He seems to be navigating it better of late too with 2 top 25 finishes in his last 4 efforts here. Already this season Taylor has recorded 2 top 10 finishes so all the stars are aligned for a Taylor made cut this week and much more.

Graeme McDowell – $7,600

So in a week of potential heavy chalk, how about a low owned golfer that ranks 3^rd in the field this week for DK Points Gained at PGA National which has yielded 4 top 10 finishes at this event? G-Mac also comes into this week with a bit of form. He ranks 42^nd for DK Points Gained over the last 2 months, 27^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and 16^th for Opportunities Gained over the same period. Results wise, the Northern Irishman comes into this event off the back 2 easily made cuts including an 18^th at AT&T Pebble Beach.

Byeong Hun An – $9,100

 At the time or writing this article Hun An has just the 1 tag on FanShare. This could easily escalate during the week so be sure to keep an eye on the FanShare Pro Tools as the week progresses. The Korean comes in ranked top 20 in all my key stats this week and actually comes out ranked 3^rd in my model. The Korean ranks 19^th in the field this week for DK Points Gained over the last 2 months, 13^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green and 11^th for Opportunities Gained over the same period. In the all time stats the World Number 54 ranks 14th for DK Points Gained and 8^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green making him one of the elite players in the field this week. He took to PGA National like a duck to water when finishing 5^th here last year at his first attempt.

Gary Woodland – $9,800 

Again, at the time of writing this article Gary has just the 1 tag. This will also be worth monitoring using the FanShare Pro Tools as the week progresses in case he becomes more popular over time. I imagine his ownership will be less than what it should be with a lot of popular choices around the same price this week such as Webb, Sergio, Scott and Cam Smith.  The World Number 23 has not missed a cut here in his 6 attempts at the Honda Classic and has even recorded a 6^th and 2^nd place finish. He is a far superior player now too than he was when posting those finishes. Stats wise, Woodland ranks 2^nd for both Shots Gained Tee 2 Green and DK Points Gained over the last 2 months. More long term, Woodland ranks 5^th for DK Points Gained in the all time stats and 3^rd for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green in the all time stats.

Ryan Palmer – $7,200

 There won’t be many players in the field this week with more experience of PGA National than Ryan Palmer. He has already played 12 Honda Classic’s here having made 9 cuts in the process. In this span he has 5 top 30 finishes including a 2^nd back in 2014. The World Number 74 ranks 31^st for DK Points Gained at PGA National, 9^th in the all time DK Points Gained and 11^th in DK Points Scored over the last 2 months meaning he ticks all the boxes for course form, short term form and long term form. Palmer’s Shots Gained Stats echo this too. Also, over the last 2 months Palmer ranks 26^th in this field for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months.

Oman Open

Matthew Southgate – $7,900

The Al Mouj Golf course has a very linksy feel to it and what better player to have playing a links style course than links specialist Matthew Southgate. Matthew proved his suitability to this course with a 9th place finish at this event last year. He actually shot a very disappointing 75 in the last round too. He goes into this event having made 8 of his last 9 cuts so I see another cut this week with a lot of upside attached.

Andrea Pavan – $7,300

The World Number 101 enters this event as the 8th best player in the field world rankings wise yet is priced as just the 39th most expensive play. Andrea showed his suitability to this course last year when finishing a very respectable 16th. The Italian has recorded 9 top 25’s in this last 14 events which includes a 6th, a 5th and a 1st.

Hideto Tanihara – $6,300

In my book this is a crazy price for a player who finished 4th at WGC event and 3rd at the PGA Championship just over a year ago. Whilst he’s not got this season of to a great start he did record three top 6 place finishes at the end of last year’s European Tour season. World Rankings wise Hideto is still the 47th best player in the field yet is one of the cheapest players on the board. For anyone looking to fit Joost Luiten in this week Hideto is almost a free square.

Tapio Pulkkanen – $7,800

Tapio is your ideal GPP play this week. A flairy player that is likely to have very low ownership. It was just the year before last that the Finn took the Challenge Tour by storm when he recorded 5 top 3 finishes in just 24 events. He just started to take that form over to the European Tour towards the end of the last season when posting 3 top 15 finishes in his last 7 events. Already, in just 3 events this season, Tapio has recorded a top 20 finish and also finished 23rd here last year.

Mikko Korhonen – $7,400

Someone is going to have to explain this price to me. You have the 9th best player in the field World Rankings wise playing the best golf he’s ever played marked up as only the 35th most expensive play this week?? The Finn has made 10 of this last 11 cuts recording 4 top 25’s in that time including a 3rd place finish just 7 events ago. He’s available for just $7,400. Just go ahead and click him into your lineup and move on.

Shubhankar Sharma – $6,900

Another gift of a price here. The Indian Sensation is the World Number 109 making him the 11th highest ranked player in the field this week. He already has 2 European Tour wins under his belt in just over a year and arrives here having just played in a WGC event playing with the world’s elite. The tournament before that saw him finish 2nd at the PGTI Players Championship which shows that his game is still sharp. He also recorded a 6th place finish at the Hong Kong Open just 7 events ago.

DKGolfBargains Value DFS Picks – WGC Mexico & Puerto Rico Open – Week 8

Value Picks Returning Top 10 Finishes This Season

1st – Matt Kuchar – $8,500 – Sony Open

2nd – Brad Kennedy – $8,300 – Handa Vic Open

3rd – Ian Poulter – $8,900 – Dubai Desert Classic

5th – David Drysdale – $7,400 – Handa Vic Open

6th – Joost Luiten – $8,700 – Saudi International

7th – Sungjae Im – $7,300 – Waste Management Phoenix Open

7th – Kevin Streelman – $7,300 – AT&T Pro Am

 

WGC Mexico

 

Emiliano Grillo – $6,900

The cut making machine has now made 14 cuts in a row which includes 5 top 15 place finishes and a 2^nd just 8 events ago. The World Number 53 ranks 2^nd in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months and 5^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green. The Argentinian ranks 2^nd last in the field for Shots Gained Putting over the last 2 months but still somehow ranks midfield for DK Points scored over the period. If Emiliano can just put average this week he has the chance of a very decent finish for just a small outlay.

Paul Casey – $8,600

Paul ranks top 25 in all my major stats this week which takes some doing considering the strength of the field. The World Number 19 ranks 9^th in the field for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and also 9^th for Opportunities Gained over the same period. This excellent play tee to green has resulted in some fantastic results of late. Barring one missed cut and one WD Casey has recorded 9 straight top 25 finishes and has two 2nds in his last 3 events. ‘Popeye’ is one of the elite players this week when it comes to DK Points Gained where he ranks 15^th for DK Points Gained over the last 100 rounds. Course wise Casey ranks 14^th for DK Points scored here at Club De Golf Chapultepec.

Gary Woodland $7,900

Arguably the most improved player over the last year on the PGA Tour, the World Number 23 ranks 1^st in DK Points Gained over the last 2 months. This is the result of his excellent Tee 2 Green play where he ranks 3^rd for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green in this field over the same period. Last week saw him make his 20^th cut in a row and a staggering 9 top 12 finishes in his last 11 PGA Tour events!! Last year’s Waste Management Phoenix Open Champion has now moved up to 11^th in this elite field for DK Points Gained over the last 100 rounds making him a long term, consistent high scorer of DK Points.  

Matt Kuchar – $7,700

Even amidst all the distraction of the El Tucan controversy, Kuchar still managed to record a 28^th place finish last week. Now that it has all settled down Kuuuuch can get back to concentrating on playing the excellent golf that got him the million dollar win in the first place. I’m hoping that Kucher’s 58^th and 20^th place finish on his two attempts here will put a few people of playing him, especially with his last 2 finishes this season being on a 28^th and 22^nd too. At this point he has not received many tags at all so there is a good chance he will be low owned. It is very difficult to overlook the World Number 22 in any event at the minute. Kuuuch has 7 top 30 finishes in a row which includes a 4^th and 2 wins. He ranks 15^th for DK Points scored over the last 2 months, 6^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and 6^th for Opportunities Gained over the same period.  

Lucas Bjerregaard – $6,500

Bjerregaard is an European Tour starlet who is getting better all the time. In just a little over a year the Dane has gone from 414^th in the world to 51^st. He has made his last 13 cuts in a row recording 7 top 10’s in this time. These were not little events either, they were some of the signature events on the European Tour. Just 9 events ago Bjerregaard recorded his 2^nd European Tour win when he took down the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship beating out Tommy Fleetwood by a shot. A $6,500 price tag for such a consistent performer with high upside is a price not to be ignored.

Tom Lewis – $7,000

As with Lucas, Tom won’t pop on anyone’s stats model this week as he’s yet to play a PGA Tour event. However, Tom’s results of late have been phenomenal. If you thought Bjerregaard’s rise in the world rankings were dramatic, Tom has done it in half the time. He was the World Number 436 half way through last season and has now rocketed to number 57 in the world. Tom has made his last 16 cuts (across both the EuropeanTour and Challenge Tour). This includes 2 wins, three 3rds and a total of ten top 10’s! At the Saudi International at the start of the February Tom finished 3^rd beating Bryson Dechambeau in the process and only finishing 3 shots behind winner Dustin Johnson.

Puerto Rico Open

 

Roberto Castro – $8,000 

The World Number 320 has made 6 of his last 7 cuts on the PGA Tour so is playing some very consistent golf right now. Although that world ranking doesn’t sound much it does actually put him as the 26^th best player in this field World Rankings wise. Castro ranks 8^th in the field for Shots Gained Total at this course, recording previous finishes of 27^th, 24^th and 14^th. Form wise he ranks 27^th for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months and 4^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the same period. He is also one of the elite players in the field ranking 7^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 100 rounds.  

Nate Lashley – $8,300

The World Number 422 has made all 5 of his PGA Tour cuts this season which includes 3 top 20s. Lashley ranks 1^st for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green in the field this week over the last 2 months and 7^th for Opportunities Gained over the same period. He has not played this course before but no course experience tends to matter a little less when a player’s form is good as if you’re hitting fairways and greens anyway it doesn’t matter where you’re playing.

Adam Svensson – $7,400

The Canadian has made 3 out of 4 cuts on the PGA Tour so far this season. This success is down to his strong tee to green game where he ranks 7^th in this field for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months. It’s not just recently that the World Number 375 has played so well tee to green, he also ranks 5^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green long term (last 100 rounds). Svensson played here in 2016 and easily made the cut when ranked 551^st in the world so making the cut this week should be no issue.

Hank Lebioda – $6,800 

The World Number 443 has made a good start to his PGA Tour career and has made 4 of his last 5 cuts. Lebioda ranks 4^th in the field this week for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green and even looking at a more long term length he ranks 12^th in the field for Shots Gained Total over the last 100 rounds.

Robert Streb – $7,800

Streb is the 10^th highest ranked player in the field this week world rankings wise. The World Number 196 ranks 4^th in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months, 19^th for Shots Gained Total and 6^th for Shots Gained at this course. His form has been in and out of late but has still recorded 5 top 40 finishes in his last 9 PGA Tour events and did finish 4^th at the Shriners Open in November.

 

DKGolfBargains Value DFS Picks – Genesis Open – Week 7

Value Picks Returning Top 10 Finishes This Season

1st – Matt Kuchar – $8,500 – Sony Open

2nd – Brad Kennedy – $8,300 – Handa Vic Open

3rd – Ian Poulter – $8,900 – Dubai Desert Classic

5th – David Drysdale – $7,400 – Handa Vic Open

6th – Joost Luiten – $8,700 – Saudi International

7th – Sungjae Im – $7,300 – Waste Management Phoenix Open

7th – Kevin Streelman – $7,300 – AT&T Pro Am

Genesis Open

For the purposes of this article ‘course form’ will also involve Augusta National as the similarities in the course are so clear.

Matt Kuchar – $8,500

Kuuuuch’s invisible touch is producing such good results at the minute that I would be surprised if he is not in the hunt again come Sunday’s back 9. Despite his excellent start to the season the World Number 22 is only priced up as the 18 most expensive play this week. In his last 6 events Kuchar has recorded a 4^th place finish and 2 victories which makes it all the more crazier that he is priced so low. In 11 events here at Riviera, Kuchar has only missed one cut and he ranks 10^th in the field this week for Draftkings Points Gained at Riviera / Augusta. Kuchar also ranks 4^th in the field this week for Opportunities Gained.

Sergio Garcia – $8,200

I can see Sergio’s recent form  going largely unnoticed this week as most of it has been done away from America and also because it will be his DQ from the Saudi International that people will be talking about rather than his excellent form. Before his DQ last week Sergio recorded 7, yes 7, top 10 finishes in a row! This includes 1 victory, a 2nd and a 3rd. The world number 29 has always been an elite Draftkings Points scorer and ranks 11th in the field this week for Draftkings Points Gained in the all time stats and ranks 6th for Draftkings Points scored at Riviera / Augusta.

Jim Furyk – $6,900

Big Jim went well last week and I believe he can repeat that this week. For someone priced up so low this week Jim’s stats tick every box. The World Number 217 has the following notable finishes in his last 5 events – 4th, 6th and 14th. He enjoys playing here at Riviera and in his 14 events here he has only missed 3 cuts. In this time he has 7 top 25 finishes here and even recorded a 3rd here in 2007. He ranks 21st in this field for DK Points Gained at Riviera / Augusta and 22nd for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months.

Keegan Bradley – $7,300

Keegan’s record here since the anchor ban has been poor, however, before the ban he had a great record here with finishes of 4th, 20th, 16th and 2nd between 2012 and 2015. I’m hoping this will go unnoticed due to people concentrating on more recent course form. In fact, Keegan’s overall form at Riviera and Augusta is that good that he ranks 6th in the field this week for Shots Gained Tee To Green at these courses and 34th for DK Points Gained at these course. As always with Keegan we just need the putter to get hot and he could lap the field. Keegan’s recent form is nothing to write home about but at the same time it isn’t bad for a $7,300 pick. He has still made his last 17 cuts in a row recording 3 top 10’s and a win in that time!

Jason Kokrak – $7,600

The World Number 114 had his best ever finish on the PGA Tour here at Riviera when he finished 2^nd in the then Northern Trust Open in 2016. He has had great success here at Riviera with finishes of 22^nd, 20^th and 2^nd over the last 3 years. He ranks 26^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green and 20^th for DK Points Gained at Riviera and Augusta combined.  Kokrak’s recent form is also impressive where he ranks 7^th in the field this week for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months, 15^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and 10^th for DK Points Gained over the last 2 months. This equates to some impressive results of late; he has made his last 12 cuts in a row and top 20’s in each of his last 3 events.

Louis Oosthuizen – $8,000

Louis has little course form at Riviera but has only played it twice, once back in 2014 and once in 2011 neither time finishing in the top 60. However, 1. Louis is a much different and much better player now and 2. He does have good form at Augusta. Even with his poor form at Riviera, Louis still ranks 17th in the field this week for DK Points Gained at Riviera and Augusta combined. His recent form is electric. The South African has made 15 cuts in a row with notable finishes of 4th, 7th, 1st, 3rd and 5th in his last 6! The World Number 26 does also have a 2nd place finish at Augusta under his hat.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

DKGolfBargains Value DFS Picks – ISPS Handa Vic Open & The AT&T Pro Am – Week 6

Value Picks Returning Top 10 Finishes This Season

1st – Matt Kuchar – $8,500 – Sony Open

3rd – Ian Poulter – $8,900 – Dubai Desert Classic

6th – Joost Luiten – $8,700 – Saudi International

7th – Sungjae Im – $7,300 – Waste Management Phoenix Open

ISPS Handa Vic Open

David Drysdale – $7,400

The Scotsman ranks as the 18th best player World Rankings wise this week yet is priced up as just the 35th most expensive play on Draftkings. The World Number 200 has played twice over here in this region in the last 5 years and to great success, recording finishes of 4th and 15th. Having never been a great player in desert conditions we can discount his last 3 events where he has missed the cut each time. David did end last year however with a 2nd and a 5th place finish in his last 4 events. This is a far weaker field than those so I expect a good week for the European Tour veteran.

Andrew ‘Beef’ Johnston – $7,200

Ok so Beef is going to be a chalky play (for those that scroll down far enough to see he’s in the field) but the way to view this is as a free square. The fan favourite has played 3 times in this region in the last 5 years and has notable finishes of 15th and 9th. The 9th being as recently as December. He is the 21st highest ranked player World Rankings wise this week yet is priced up as just the 44th most expensive player. The price is so strange as it’s not like his current form is even bad. He had made 7 of his last 9 cuts and has 4 top 27 place finishes in that time!

Grant Forrest – $7,000

The young Scotsman had a successful journey out to Australia last time out with a 17th place finish in the World Super 6 last year. World Ranking wise Grant is the 28th highest ranked player in the field yet is priced up as just the 58th most expensive play on the Draftkings slate. His form is also good with 3 top 10 finishes on the Challenge Tour and a 7th on the European Tour since September.

Brad Kennedy – $8,300

The Australian is a model of consistency right now. A regular on the Japanese Tour he only missed 2 cuts in 22 events last year. This included 4 top 10 finishes and a victory. It’s not just last year he has been a consistent performer he has actually managed to finish each of the last 8 years in the worlds top 200 having recorded 6 victories in this time. Now playing back on home soil, we know if Brad is in contention he will be able to close the deal.

Scott Vincent $7,900

The Zimbabwean comes into the field this week ranked as the 12th best player world rankings wise. Draftkings have him priced up as just the 24th most expensive play. Form wise the World Number 160 has only missed 2 of his last 20 cuts and has recorded 7 top 10’s in this time which includes three 2nds. Scott has a 26th place and a 9th place finish in his region within the last 2 years.

Hyowon Park – $6,700

The South Korean World Number 260 looks a very generous price this week. He is the 33rd best ranked player in the field this week world ranking wise yet priced up as just the 85th most expensive play on the Draftkings slate. A Koren Tour regular, last season he recorded 6 top 10 finishes in just 23 events which includes 3 seconds and a win. He made the cut at the 2015 Australian Open when ranked 614th in the world so I’m expecting big things in this field, this week, playing off a much higher standard.

The AT&T Pro Am

J.B Holmes – $7,900

The Kentucky Sloth shoots straight into my model at number 1 this week.  The World Number 100 ranks 18^th in the field this week for Draftkings Points Gained at these 3 courses combined and 5^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green at Pebble Beach. This has allowed him to record 2 top 11 place finishes here in the last 4 years. A number that would be far higher if he could just get some putts to drop. Despite ranking 114^th for DK Points Gained over the last 2 months Holmes actually ranks 1^st for Opportunities Gained over the same period. So he is giving himself the chance to win, he just needs to start converting some of these chances. If the putter does get hot he will be right in the mix of things come Sunday’s back nine.

Russell Knox – $8,100

For every key stat this week Russell comes in green. The Scot comes in ranked top 45 for all the DraftKings Points Gained stats this week – DK Points Gained at these courses combined, the last 2 months and the all time stats. In his 5 attempts here the World Number 62 has notable finishes of 28^th, 27^th and 15^th. His current form is also promising where he ranks 17^th in the field for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months. This has seen him make his last 7 cuts in a row which includes 3 top 25 place finishes culminating in a 10^th last time out.

Kevin Streelman – $7,300

The World Number 196 ranks 7^th in the field this week for Draftkings Points Gained at these courses combined and also 9^th for Shots Gained Total at these courses . He also ranks 25^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green in the all time stats and 19^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months. Despite how highly he is ranked in these stats he is priced up as just the 38^th most expensive play on the Draftkings slate. Kevin has recorded 4 top 20 finishes here in his last 6 attempts including a 9^th and a 6^th place finish. I’m not too fussed about his recent form as coming into his 9^th place finish in 2012 he recorded finishes of MC,MC,MC,73^rd in the 4 tournaments prior.

Lucas Glover – $7,700

It’s unusual for a player to go up in price despite missing the cut the week before but I can see why with Lucas. The World Number 131 ranks top 55 for all the key stats in my model this week. Lucas is actually playing very well recently and hence ranks 10th for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months. This form can be supported by the 6 top 20’s he recorded in a row prior to last week’s missed cut. Courses wise, Lucas ranks 36th for Shots Gained Total across this courses and had an 11th place finish here last time he played.

Robert Garrigus – $6,600

Robert is another one that ticks all the boxes this week and is the cheapest play of those that do. The World Number 400 ranks 32^nd in the field this week for DK Points Gained over these courses and 42nd for Shots Gained Total. In his last 7 starts here the former World Number 35 has recorded 4 top 30 place finishes. Although his results don’t show it, the 1 time PGA Tour winner isn’t playing too bad. He ranks 34^th for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green over the last 2 months and 40^th for Opportunities Gained. Despite his low current world ranking he is still one of the class players of the field, ranking 17^th in the field this week for Shots Gained Tee 2 Green in the all time stats.

Ryan Palmer – $7,200

Yep, that man again! I’m going to keep riding the Palmer train until he wins and his price becomes too high or the stats don’t support him any longer. Ryan still ranks top 50 for all key stats this week, with highlights being 46th for Shots Gained Total at these courses, 25th for Opportunities Gained over the last 2 months, 9th for DK Points Gained over the last 2 months and all time and also 7th for Shots Gained Total in the all time stats in this field. Ryan is no stranger to this tournament having played it 12 times already. Other than 3 top 32nd place finishes there is nothing really to write home about here but his recent form could change that this year. He has made 11 of his last 13 cuts which include 5 top 13 place finishes.